{"id":13757,"date":"2023-06-02T07:40:39","date_gmt":"2023-06-02T07:40:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kedid.uom.gr\/?p=13757"},"modified":"2023-07-20T19:01:43","modified_gmt":"2023-07-20T19:01:43","slug":"us-debt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kedid.uom.gr\/en\/us-debt\/","title":{"rendered":"What is going on with the U.S. debt?"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"13757\" class=\"elementor elementor-13757\" data-elementor-settings=\"{&quot;ha_cmc_init_switcher&quot;:&quot;no&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-9ed1ddd elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"9ed1ddd\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-38dacaa\" data-id=\"38dacaa\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3f73181 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"3f73181\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><em>Dr Alexandros Kyriakidis<\/em><a href=\"#_ftn1\" name=\"_ftnref1\">[1]<\/a><\/p><p><strong>Introduction<\/strong><\/p><p>It is common for the public debt limit (or \u201cceiling\u201d) of the United States of America (U.S.) to be the subject of political controversy if its completion is imminent in a period that Congress and the Presidency belong to different parties. This is the case now too, with the debt limit to be reached in just a week, and with the Republicans holding the majority in the House of Representatives and the Democrats the majority in the Senate and the Presidency after the 2022 midterm elections. But how does the debt \u201cceiling\u201d becomes a highly politicized issue?<\/p><p><strong>Public debt and the U.S. Constitution<\/strong><\/p><p>Section 8 of Article I of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.archives.gov\/founding-docs\/constitution-transcript\">U.S. Constitution<\/a> provisions, inter alia, that Congress alone can \u201c<em>borrow money on credit of the United States<\/em>\u201d and \u201c<em>to pay the Debts &#8230;\u00a0 of the United States<\/em>\u201d. In June of 1868, just one year after the end of the Civil War, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.archives.gov\/founding-docs\/amendments-11-27\">14th Amendment<\/a> to the U.S. Constitution was adopted, the first sentence of Section 4 of which (Public Debt Clause<a href=\"#_ftn2\" name=\"_ftnref2\">[2]<\/a>) states that \u201ct<em>he validity of the public debt of the United States, authorized by law, including debts incurred for payment of pensions and bounties for services in suppressing insurrection or rebellion, shall not be questioned<\/em>.\u201d The purpose of the Amendment was primarily to ensure economic stability and protect U.S. public finances, particularly in view of the inclusion of the southern States in the Union after the Civil War, (Democratic) representatives of many of which were opposed to the federal government assuming the war debts incurred by the North, as opposed to Republican representatives of the Northern States\u00a0 who were in favour.<\/p><p><strong>The debt \u201cceiling\u201d<\/strong><\/p><p>In <a href=\"https:\/\/scholarship.law.duke.edu\/cgi\/viewcontent.cgi?article=3381&amp;context=dlj\">accordance<\/a> with the above constitutional provisions, Congress <a href=\"https:\/\/www.treasurydirect.gov\/government\/historical-debt-outstanding\/\">has always<\/a> limited the capacity of the federal government to borrow. Prior to 1917, this was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.1719687115\">achieved<\/a> by Congress alone designing all U.S. securities<a href=\"#_ftn3\" name=\"_ftnref3\">[3]<\/a>, granting only limited authority to the Secretary of the Treasury to manage the debt that was of a certain amount, for a specific purpose.\u00a0 etc.<\/p><p>The public debt ceiling was introduced as a horizontal restriction by Congress on federal government borrowing for the first time in 1917, when the U.S. issued the so-called <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreservehistory.org\/essays\/liberty-bonds\">Liberty Bonds<\/a> to finance its participation in, and support for the Allies during, World War I, with the limit set to about $7.5 billion (about $70 billion in today&#8217;s prices). The <a href=\"https:\/\/govtrackus.s3.amazonaws.com\/legislink\/pdf\/stat\/40\/STATUTE-40-Pg288.pdf\">Second Liberty Bond Act<\/a> of 1917 abolished the preexisting restrictions, allowing the assumption of debt by the U.S. government (now by the Treasury) with the only (legislative) limitation being the debt limit.<\/p><p>The limit is currently legally provisioned in sections 3101 and 3101A of the U.S. Code\u00a0 and <a href=\"https:\/\/home.treasury.gov\/policy-issues\/financial-markets-financial-institutions-and-fiscal-service\/debt-limit\">is<\/a> the limitation, by\u00a0 an Act of Congress, in the amount borrowed by the federal government to service existing (not new) obligations. Since 1917 it has been increased, temporarily extended, or modified 78 times, and now stands at about $31 trillion.<\/p><p>Reaching the respective limit results in the inability of the U.S. government to borrow to serve existing needs, potentially even leading to default. The Department of the Treasury may take <a href=\"https:\/\/home.treasury.gov\/system\/files\/136\/Debt-Limit-Letter-to-Congress-McCarthy-20230113.pdf\">extraordinary measures<\/a> (e.g. by suspending investments of the Civil Service Retirement and Disability Fund), but these are usually only sufficient for a period of months. Indicatively, when the limit was reached in 2013, the failure to reach an agreement led to \u00a0the suspension of\u00a0 nearly all federal government services for 16 days and the of more than 800,000 federal civil servants. Therefore, upon reaching the limit, the fact that the functioning of the country itself is at stake creates fertile ground for political negotiations between Democrats and Republicans.<\/p><p><strong>The current situation<\/strong><\/p><p>The current limit has <a href=\"https:\/\/home.treasury.gov\/system\/files\/136\/Debt-Limit-Letter-to-Congress-20230119-McCarthy.pdf\">\u00a0already been reached<\/a> since January, making further borrowing impossible and forcing the Treasury to take extraordinary measures to avoid a possible default. But those measures <a href=\"https:\/\/home.treasury.gov\/system\/files\/136\/Debt_Limit_Letter_Congress_20230124_McCarthy.pdf\">will last<\/a> until early June, yielding an immediate to suspend or increase the limit through congressional legislation.<\/p><p>On April 26, the House, with a Republican majority, approved a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.congress.gov\/bill\/118th-congress\/house-bill\/2811\/text\">Bill<\/a> to raise the limit, but it also includes other political priorities of Republicans, such as cutting federal programs (e.g., &#8220;green&#8221; taxes and student loans) and adding eligibility criteria for qualifying for benefits or federal programs, such as introducing a requirement to work at least 80 hours per year\u00a0 month, or a specific minimum wage, to become eligible for the Medicaid. Given these additional provisions, the Bill has little chance of being approved as it stands by the Senate, in which the Democrats hold the majority. But it has formed basis of the Republicans for the political negotiation that, after months\u00a0 of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2023\/04\/26\/biden-ill-meet-with-mccarthy-but-not-on-debt-limit-00094023\">refusal<\/a> by the incumbent Democratic President Joseph R. Biden,\u00a0 finally <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/05\/27\/mccarthy-cites-progress-in-us-debt-ceiling-talks-with-white-house.html\">began<\/a> in mid-May and culminated in an agreement in principle two weeks later.\u00a0<\/p><p>Negotiation and agreement are inevitable for both political parties. As for the Democrats, considering that the President is, in essence, the head of the political system of the country in the eyes of citizens, he, and by extension the Democratic party, will bear most of the responsibility for any suspension of federal government operations, and the ensuing dissatisfaction, in the event of no deal. But Republicans will also take a share of the blame \u2014 albeit less than Democrats \u2014 by appearing intransigent in the face of a possible default of the U.S. Given the upcoming 2024 presidential election, in which both incumbent President Biden and former President Donald J. Trump will run, both parties want to maintain their party base cohesive while avoiding actions that could alienate voters who are in the center or are undecided, who are an important part of the electorate for the U.S. elections.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-08c280d elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"08c280d\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-c4de8d6\" data-id=\"c4de8d6\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d5162aa elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"d5162aa\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-533ff64 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"533ff64\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><a href=\"#_ftnref1\" name=\"_ftn1\">[1]<\/a> Postdoctoral Research Fellow, LUISS Guido Carli University (Italy).<\/p><p><a href=\"#_ftnref2\" name=\"_ftn2\">[2]<\/a> Republican Senator Benjamin Wade first introduced a proposal for the Public Debt Clause in the Senate, which, after a few amendments, was eventually approved as it stands today.<\/p><p><a href=\"#_ftnref3\" name=\"_ftn3\">[3]<\/a> Indicatively, in 145 years (1776 to 1920), Congress formed more than 200 different securities.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dr Alexandros Kyriakidis[1] Introduction It is common for the public debt limit (or \u201cceiling\u201d) of the United States of America (U.S.) to be the subject of political controversy if its completion is imminent in a period that Congress and the <a href=\"https:\/\/kedid.uom.gr\/en\/us-debt\/\" class=\"read-more\">Read More &#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[111,2,108],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13757","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-research","category-uspoljust"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kedid.uom.gr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13757","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kedid.uom.gr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kedid.uom.gr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kedid.uom.gr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kedid.uom.gr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13757"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/kedid.uom.gr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13757\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13778,"href":"https:\/\/kedid.uom.gr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13757\/revisions\/13778"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kedid.uom.gr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13757"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kedid.uom.gr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13757"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kedid.uom.gr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13757"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}